L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Kilmarnock v Hearts

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC

Score final : Kilmarnock 1–1 Hearts

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 21.16%4.73cote équitable
EV +1.80%
Avantage +0.374%
Kelly +0.472%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.79%21.10%21.24%22.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.384.404.8124.39%22.81%22.73%20.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hearts (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.01%1.82cote équitable
EV -0.982%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.91%55.04%54.99%56.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.8062.11%59.02%58.82%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -0.905%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%23.86%23.77%25.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.893.904.0827.03%25.71%25.64%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kilmarnock (Local) : 21.16% ; Hearts (Visiteur) : 55.01% ; Match nul : 23.83%. Pour Kilmarnock (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.73. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.81, soit une espérance positive de +1.80%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 19.96%EV +1.80%E +0.374%K +0.472%G +0.008%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 16:44
Pinnacle🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.529%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.06%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.63%EV -2.79%E -0.683%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:40
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV +0.529%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 16:25
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.530%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -9.23%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:23
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.65%E -0.575%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -3.70%E -0.814%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -6.60%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:44
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:34
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 16:30
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:28
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 07:30
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:25
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -8.68%E -5.23%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:33
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.76%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:34
BetUS🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -5.82%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:44
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:44
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.94%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:30
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -7.94%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:49
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:44
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 16:30
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -8.36%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 16:44
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:44
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -10.05%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.85%EV -9.78%E -5.97%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:50
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -0.982%E -0.546%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.08%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.23%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -9.78%E -5.97%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:44
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.11%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -11.43%E -7.10%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 16:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -10.33%E -6.34%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.84%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.81%-0.0%2026-09-19 16:40
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74%0.3%2026-09-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-19 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.26%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.1%2026-09-19 16:44
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-09-19 16:25