Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 14:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prediction 42.95%2.33fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.14%43.00%42.96%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.142.152.2349.50%46.83%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd
EV +0.340%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.52%29.45%29.54%30.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.923.213.203.4034.25%31.17%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.328%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.54%27.50%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kilmarnock (Local): 42.95%; Dundee FC (Visit): 29.51%; Draw: 27.54%. For Dundee FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.340%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -10.67%E -5.13%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.43%E -0.428%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.42%EV -2.78%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:59
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.06%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.38%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.38%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:01
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -8.52%E -4.00%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -0.852%E -0.237%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.67%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -13.83%E -4.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-11 14:01