La escuela de los momios

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Predicción 42.95%2.33momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.14%43.00%42.96%45.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.142.152.2349.50%46.83%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Predicción 29.51%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.340%
Ventaja +0.100%
Kelly +0.142%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.52%29.45%29.54%30.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.923.213.203.4034.25%31.17%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.54%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.852%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.33%27.54%27.50%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.71%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -10.67%E -5.13%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.43%E -0.428%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.42%EV -2.78%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:59
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.06%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.38%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.38%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:01
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -8.52%E -4.00%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -0.852%E -0.237%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:01
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 13:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.67%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -13.83%E -4.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-11 14:01