Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.14%43.00%42.96%45.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.142.152.2349.50%46.83%46.51%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.51%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.340%
Avantage +0.100%
Kelly +0.142%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.52%29.45%29.54%30.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.923.213.203.4034.25%31.17%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.54%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.852%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.328%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.54%27.50%29.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kilmarnock (Local) : 42.95% ; Dundee FC (Visiteur) : 29.51% ; Match nul : 27.54%. Pour Dundee FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.340%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -8.95%E -4.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV +0.340%E +0.100%K +0.142%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -10.67%E -5.13%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:00
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.10%E -5.36%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -1.14%E -0.339%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -4.66%E -2.10%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.43%E -0.428%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.42%EV -2.78%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:59
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.06%EV -4.23%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -11.96%E -5.83%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -2.61%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.38%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.38%E -2.92%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.56%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:01
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -8.52%E -4.00%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.04%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -0.852%E -0.237%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.66%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.52%E -2.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.98%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -7.23%E -3.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.99%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.81%E -4.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.46%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.67%EV -13.25%E -6.56%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -13.83%E -4.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -14.62%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-11 14:01