Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock v Celtic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 12:30 UTC

Score final : Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 12.73%7.86cote équitable
EV +1.95%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 8.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.71%12.78%12.59%14.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.407.187.008.0115.63%13.92%14.29%12.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Celtic (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.21%1.44cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -7.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.87%69.12%69.41%71.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.351.351.4078.13%74.08%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.06%5.54cote équitable
EV +0.790%
Avantage +0.142%
Kelly +0.173%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.89%18.10%18.00%20.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.065.005.5821.74%19.77%20.00%17.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kilmarnock (Local) : 12.73% ; Celtic (Visiteur) : 69.21% ; Match nul : 18.06%. Pour Kilmarnock (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.86. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.01, soit une espérance positive de +1.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.98%EV +1.95%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.005%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.00%EV -3.73%E -0.699%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 12:25
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 12:25
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:25
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:08
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:09
Betsson🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.08%EV +0.551%E +0.070%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.65%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -10.59%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 04:20
NordicBet🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.08%EV +0.551%E +0.070%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.65%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -10.59%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -0.722%E -0.093%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.36%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 12:25
Pinnacle🎯7.71I 12.97%NM 12.49%EV -1.87%E -0.242%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.26%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.25%EV +0.790%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-09 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.09%EV -1.99%E -0.259%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 12:20
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 12:25
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 12:00
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.27%E -0.805%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 11:28
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:25
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:55
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -7.72%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 02:40
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 02:44
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 12:10
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 11:55
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:13
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:14
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:19
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 12:25
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.73%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -15.10%E -3.21%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.07%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -11.41%E -8.92%K -40.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -14.72%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:04
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.75%EV -16.00%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 16:50
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 04:05
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 09:40
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -18.54%E -2.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 16:49
Neds🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -18.54%E -2.90%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎9.00I 11.11%NM 11.08%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.73%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.19%0.3%2026-08-09 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%0.5%2026-08-09 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%0.5%2026-08-09 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%0.5%2026-08-09 12:20
Matchbook◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15%0.5%2026-08-09 12:20
Kalshi◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.26%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%1.0%2026-08-09 12:20