Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock v Celtic

2026-08-09 12:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 14.20%7.04cote équitable
EV +6.48%
Avantage +0.864%
Kelly +0.997%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.24%14.03%14.27%15.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.596.507.5016.67%15.16%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Celtic (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.90%1.49cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -3.03%
Kelly -10.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.80%66.97%66.91%69.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4375.19%71.80%71.43%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.91%5.29cote équitable
EV -0.743%
Avantage -0.142%
Kelly -0.175%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.18%19.01%18.82%20.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.834.805.2522.22%20.70%20.83%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kilmarnock (Local) : 14.20% ; Celtic (Visiteur) : 66.90% ; Match nul : 18.91%. Pour Kilmarnock (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.04. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 7.50, pour une espérance positive de +6.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +6.48%E +0.864%K +0.997%G +0.065%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -11.03%E -8.29%K -33.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 22:54
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.90%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.78%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -11.14%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:09
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.90%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.78%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -11.14%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:10
Marathon Bet7.30I 13.70%NM 12.75%EV +3.64%E +0.499%K +0.578%G +0.021%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.44%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.80%EV -6.41%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:10
1xBet7.27I 13.76%NM 12.86%EV +3.22%E +0.442%K +0.513%G +0.016%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -8.35%E -6.10%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -6.41%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:14
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -0.617%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.743%E -0.142%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 18:19
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.617%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 04:49
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.617%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.25%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 09:33
betano_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.617%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.25%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 09:34
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -4.17%E -0.617%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 08:09
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -4.17%E -0.617%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -4.34%E -3.03%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 08:14
PointsBet (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.17%E -0.617%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:19
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -4.17%E -0.617%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:23
PlayUp6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.17%E -0.617%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.92%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 18:10
Pinnacle6.64I 15.06%NM 14.27%EV -5.73%E -0.863%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.22%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.51%EV -3.20%E -0.625%K -0.777%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:20
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.25%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 08:10
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.25%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 08:10
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.25%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 08:14
Ladbrokes (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 04:44
Neds6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 04:44
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 04:49
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 18:20
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -7.01%E -5.05%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 20:34
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:14
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:15
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:09
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:15
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 18:19
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:00
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -11.14%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 08:10
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 06:34
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 06:40
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 06:34
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 06:34
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -9.14%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.14%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 08:14
LowVig.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -9.14%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.95%EV -8.35%E -6.10%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 19:29
BetOnline.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -9.14%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.95%EV -8.35%E -6.10%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 19:29
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.14%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 08:09
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.14%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 08:09
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.14%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.03%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 08:10
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.35%E -4.53%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:15
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 18:18
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -11.98%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.14%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 04:49
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.35%EV -11.98%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.91%EV -11.03%E -8.29%K -33.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.74%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 04:50
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.68%E -5.57%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.47%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 18:09
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -9.25%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 18:45
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-04 06:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-08-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.26%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%3.1%2026-08-04 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.26%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%3.1%2026-08-04 22:30
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.26%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%3.1%2026-08-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.26%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%3.1%2026-08-04 22:30