Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.01
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.58
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kilmarnock (Local): 12.73%; Celtic (Visitante): 69.21%; Empate: 18.06%. Para Kilmarnock (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.86. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.01, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.95%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.98%EV +1.95%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.005% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.00%EV -3.73%E -0.699%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 12:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +1.82%E +0.228%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.08%EV +0.551%E +0.070%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.65%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -10.59%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 04:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.08%EV +0.551%E +0.070%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.65%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -10.59%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 04:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -0.722%E -0.093%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.36%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.71I 12.97%NM 12.49%EV -1.87%E -0.242%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.26%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.25%EV +0.790%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.09%EV -1.99%E -0.259%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.27%E -0.805%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 11:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.54%E -0.605%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -7.72%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 02:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -0.655%E -0.119%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.88%E -4.32%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.30%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -10.90%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.73%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -15.10%E -3.21%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -16.91%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.07%EV -14.09%E -2.09%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -11.41%E -8.92%K -40.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -14.72%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.64%E -6.55%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 12:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.75%EV -16.00%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -11.49%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.17%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 04:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -17.27%E -2.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -18.54%E -2.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -18.54%E -2.90%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.11%E -2.22%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -6.07%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 16:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.08% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.73% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.19% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.30% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.55% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.26% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |