Language:English
Hibernian v Livingston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hibernian (Local)
Prediction 67.25%1.49fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -8.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.65%67.19%67.37%69.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.381.401.4380.65%72.22%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Livingston (Visit)
Prediction 12.76%7.84fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.258%
Kelly +0.295%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.58%12.70%12.66%13.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.297.258.0015.38%13.73%13.79%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.99%5.00fair odd
EV -0.045%
Edge -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%20.11%19.97%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.644.705.0023.81%21.57%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hibernian (Local): 67.25%; Livingston (Visit): 12.76%; Draw: 19.99%. For Livingston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.84. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.88%E -7.38%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +2.07%E +0.258%K +0.295%G +0.006% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.789%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.04%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.789%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.04%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.85%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.24%EV +0.406%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.91%EV -3.24%E -0.670%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -0.487%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -9.04%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -1.12%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.52%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV -2.78%E -0.365%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV -3.64%E -0.756%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -5.18%E -3.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -5.18%E -3.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.045%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -3.83%E -2.68%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.04%E -0.628%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -3.83%E -2.68%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.04%E -0.628%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.80%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.80%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.40%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.24%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.06%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.82%EV -13.88%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.12%EV -14.04%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 67.62%EV -16.61%E -13.39%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.42%EV -13.88%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.96%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.88%E -7.38%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -17.07%E -2.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |