La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hibernian v Livingston
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hibernian (Local)
Predicción 67.25%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -8.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.65%67.19%67.37%69.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.381.401.4380.65%72.22%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Livingston (Visitante)
Predicción 12.76%7.84momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.258%
Kelly +0.295%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.58%12.70%12.66%13.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.297.258.0015.38%13.73%13.79%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.99%5.00momio equitativo
EV -0.045%
Ventaja -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.72%20.11%19.97%21.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.644.705.0023.81%21.57%21.28%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.88%E -7.38%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +2.07%E +0.258%K +0.295%G +0.006% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.789%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.04%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.789%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.04%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.85%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.24%EV +0.406%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.91%EV -3.24%E -0.670%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -0.487%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -9.04%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:53 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -1.12%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.52%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV -2.78%E -0.365%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV -3.64%E -0.756%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -5.18%E -3.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -5.18%E -3.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.045%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -3.83%E -2.68%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.04%E -0.628%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -3.83%E -2.68%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.04%E -0.628%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.80%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.80%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.40%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.24%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.06%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.82%EV -13.88%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.12%EV -14.04%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 67.62%EV -16.61%E -13.39%K -69.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.42%EV -13.88%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.96%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.88%E -7.38%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -17.07%E -2.63%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |