L’École des cotes

Hibernian v Livingston

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 67.25%1.49cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -8.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.65%67.19%67.37%69.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.381.401.4380.65%72.22%71.43%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Livingston (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.76%7.84cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.295%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.58%12.70%12.66%13.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.297.258.0015.38%13.73%13.79%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.99%5.00cote équitable
EV -0.045%
Avantage -0.009%
Kelly -0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.72%20.11%19.97%21.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.644.705.0023.81%21.57%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.88%E -7.38%K -29.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +2.07%E +0.258%K +0.295%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:44
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.789%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.04%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.72%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV +0.789%E +0.100%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.04%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.85%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.24%EV +0.406%E +0.052%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.91%EV -3.24%E -0.670%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -0.487%E -0.062%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -9.04%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:53
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -1.12%E -0.145%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 14:50
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.52%EV -4.50%E -3.17%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.58%EV -2.78%E -0.365%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV -3.64%E -0.756%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -5.18%E -3.67%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:15
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.49%EV -5.18%E -3.67%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:30
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:15
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:45
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:29
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.045%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.31%E -0.575%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:30
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -3.83%E -2.68%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.04%E -0.628%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.02%EV -3.83%E -2.68%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -3.04%E -0.628%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.80%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:54
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.80%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.71%EV -7.50%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.04%E -0.842%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:53
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:15
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:15
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:15
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.19%E -5.21%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.44%E -3.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:54
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.04%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.21%E -6.82%K -26.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.69%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.40%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.24%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.04%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.06%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.82%EV -13.88%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.12%EV -14.04%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-14 14:50
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 67.62%EV -16.61%E -13.39%K -69.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.42%EV -13.88%E -2.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.96%EV -16.04%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.88%E -7.38%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -17.07%E -2.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -12.04%E -2.74%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 14:30
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-03-14 14:25
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%0.9%2026-03-14 14:25