The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hibernian v Hearts

2026-09-03 18:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hibernian (Local)

Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%38.00%38.05%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.402.5545.45%42.07%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hearts (Visit)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd
EV +5.14%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.64%
Growth +0.135%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%35.36%35.47%36.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.702.9540.82%36.98%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%26.64%26.49%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hibernian (Local): 37.83%; Hearts (Visit): 35.64%; Draw: 26.53%. For Hearts (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.95, producing a positive expected value of +5.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.23%E -5.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +5.14%E +1.74%K +2.64%G +0.135%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 19:03
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -12.23%E -5.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV +5.14%E +1.74%K +2.64%G +0.135%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 19:03
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 19:03
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 19:03
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 19:03
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 19:04
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 19:04
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.28%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV +2.64%E +0.918%K +1.41%G +0.037%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -14.88%E -6.61%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV +1.58%E +0.553%K +0.852%G +0.013%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.79%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:03
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -15.63%E -7.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -0.207%E -0.074%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.79%E -4.24%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 19:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.11%EV -15.63%E -7.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -0.207%E -0.074%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -15.11%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 19:03
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -16.77%E -7.62%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -0.207%E -0.074%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -15.11%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 19:03
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -16.77%E -7.62%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -0.207%E -0.074%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -15.11%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 19:03
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -1.99%E -0.723%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.16%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 00:49
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.77%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.55%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 19:03
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.55%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 19:03
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.55%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 00:43
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.55%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 00:43
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.62%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:04
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.16%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:03
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:03
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:04
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:03
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -8.45%E -3.49%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:03
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.81%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 19:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.68%E -5.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -12.46%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-24 19:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%8.7%2026-08-24 19:04