StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hibernian v Hearts

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 18:48 UTC

Slutresultat: Hibernian 1–3 Hearts

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hibernian (Hemma)

Prognos 41.37%2.42rättvist odds
EV +1.35%
Fördel +0.549%
Kelly +0.928%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.90%41.20%41.45%42.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.292.252.4547.62%43.69%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hearts (Borta)

Prognos 31.97%3.13rättvist odds
EV -1.85%
Fördel -0.604%
Kelly -0.896%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.07

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.81%32.17%31.97%35.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.842.883.0739.22%35.26%34.72%32.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.67%3.75rättvist odds
EV +0.262%
Fördel +0.070%
Kelly +0.095%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.76

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.10%26.62%26.58%27.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.473.453.7630.77%28.85%28.99%26.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Hibernian (Hemma): 41.37%; Hearts (Borta): 31.97%; Oavgjort: 26.67%. För Hibernian (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.42. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.45, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.35%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV +1.35%E +0.549%K +0.928%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV +1.35%E +0.549%K +0.928%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV +0.518%E +0.213%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.32%EV -1.55%E -0.651%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -10.17%E -3.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV +0.262%E +0.070%K +0.095%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -1.55%E -0.651%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -16.88%E -6.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:14
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -16.88%E -6.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -18.48%E -7.25%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.00%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -3.62%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -18.48%E -7.25%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -3.62%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -18.48%E -7.25%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.92%EV -4.45%E -1.92%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -1.85%E -0.604%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.732%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.34%E -0.361%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.34%E -0.361%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:39
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -12.09%E -4.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.09%E -4.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 18:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 18:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -6.01%E -2.04%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.20%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 18:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 18:09
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.93%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.93%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.93%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.93%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:44
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.49%E -3.75%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -8.17%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.49%E -0.818%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -8.17%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.49%E -0.818%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:20
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -8.17%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -2.49%E -0.818%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.17%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 17:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -8.17%E -3.68%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 17:55
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -8.58%E -3.88%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.50%EV -6.33%E -2.16%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 18:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.56%EV -9.82%E -4.51%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.89%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -11.06%E -5.15%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.09%E -4.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.00%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.94%EV -12.31%E -5.80%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.53%EV -9.85%E -3.49%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -13.13%E -6.25%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.00%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 18:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-09-03 18:45
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-09-03 18:45
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-09-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-03 18:45
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-03 18:45