Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 4.65
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hibernian (Local): 54.17%; Aberdeen (Visit): 21.60%; Draw: 24.23%. For Aberdeen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.445%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.635%E -0.138%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV -2.15%E -0.474%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -3.32%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.29%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.38%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 06:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.41%EV -5.60%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 06:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 06:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 03:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 23:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 03:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 06:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 06:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 06:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 06:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.03%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.68%EV -8.45%E -5.00%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 06:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-17 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.54%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.00%E -5.35%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |