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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Hibernian v Aberdeen

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hibernian (Local)

Previsão 54.17%1.85odd justa
EV -5.20%
Vantagem -2.97%
Kelly -6.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.89%54.16%54.22%55.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.721.731.7561.35%58.04%57.80%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Aberdeen (Visitante)

Previsão 21.60%4.63odd justa
EV +0.445%
Vantagem +0.096%
Kelly +0.122%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.21%21.53%21.57%22.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.274.284.6525.00%23.41%23.39%21.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.23%4.13odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -0.770%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.44%24.31%24.21%26.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.813.804.0027.78%26.24%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hibernian (Local): 54.17%; Aberdeen (Visitante): 21.60%; Empate: 24.23%. Para Aberdeen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.63. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.445%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.635%E -0.138%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV -2.15%E -0.474%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -3.32%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.29%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.38%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 08:39
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.41%EV -5.60%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 06:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 06:31
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 20:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:04
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 17:30
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 23:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 03:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.03%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.68%EV -8.45%E -5.00%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 06:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.54%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.00%E -5.35%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-09-18 13:05