L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Hibernian v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 54.17%1.85cote équitable
EV -5.20%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -6.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.89%54.16%54.22%55.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.721.731.7561.35%58.04%57.80%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV +0.445%
Avantage +0.096%
Kelly +0.122%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.21%21.53%21.57%22.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.274.284.6525.00%23.41%23.39%21.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.23%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.770%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.44%24.31%24.21%26.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.804.0027.78%26.24%26.32%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hibernian (Local) : 54.17% ; Aberdeen (Visiteur) : 21.60% ; Match nul : 24.23%. Pour Aberdeen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.63. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.65, soit une espérance positive de +0.445%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.445%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.635%E -0.138%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV -2.15%E -0.474%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -3.32%E -0.833%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.80%E -0.621%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.29%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.38%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -10.62%E -6.44%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.96%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 08:39
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.09%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.41%EV -5.60%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.50%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 06:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 06:31
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 20:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.47%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:04
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.29%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 17:30
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.12%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 23:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.20%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 03:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.75%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 10:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-16 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.03%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.28%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:10
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.83%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.68%EV -8.45%E -5.00%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 06:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -11.44%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -7.37%E -4.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.54%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.00%E -5.35%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.60%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-09-18 13:05