The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hearts v Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 20:01 UTC

Final: Hearts 2–2 Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hearts (Local)

Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV +3.47%
Edge +0.899%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.92%26.81%26.80%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.8630.30%28.64%28.57%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.71%47.86%47.74%49.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.931.942.0156.50%51.71%51.55%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV -0.958%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.330%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%25.33%25.46%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.653.613.9028.99%27.39%27.70%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 26.81%; Rangers (Visit): 47.80%; Draw: 25.40%. For Hearts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.92%EV +3.47%E +0.899%K +1.21%G +0.042%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.57%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.51%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 19:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV +1.86%E +0.490%K +0.665%G +0.012%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-28 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV +1.86%E +0.490%K +0.665%G +0.012%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-28 20:00
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.04%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.14%EV -2.48%E -0.646%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 19:45
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-28 19:25
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -7.75%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:25
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-28 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-28 19:25
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-28 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.23%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 20:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-28 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.57%E -6.26%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.74%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 19:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.74%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -7.75%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 19:20
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -9.66%E -5.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-28 20:00
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -9.66%E -5.11%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-28 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.64%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.91%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -8.07%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 19:45
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.23%E -0.579%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:55
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 19:53
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 19:55
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 19:45
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 19:55
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 19:55
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 19:15
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 19:15
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.70%E -4.56%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 19:15
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.59%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 19:54
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.23%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 20:00
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.23%E -4.28%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 20:00
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -0.958%E -0.246%K -0.330%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -0.958%E -0.246%K -0.330%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 19:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 19:44
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 20:00
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-28 19:44
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-28 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-28 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-28 19:44
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -10.14%E -5.39%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-28 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 19:15
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -4.40%E -2.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 20:00
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 19:55
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 20:00
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.79%E -3.48%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 19:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -7.75%E -4.01%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-28 20:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -12.53%E -6.85%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-28 19:55
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.62%E -5.68%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.79%EV -15.40%E -8.70%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -12.39%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-28 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-10-28 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-10-28 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-10-28 20:00
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-10-28 20:00
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%2.0%2026-10-28 20:00
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-10-28 19:45

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