Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hearts v Rangers

2026-10-28 20:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hearts (Local)

Previsão 29.85%3.35odd justa
EV +1.50%
Vantagem +0.441%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%29.80%29.86%30.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.72%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 44.05%2.27odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.90%44.09%44.09%45.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.082.102.2053.48%48.05%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.09%3.83odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -0.573%
Kelly -0.781%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.92%26.11%26.06%27.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.38%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hearts (Local): 29.85%; Rangers (Visitante): 44.05%; Empate: 26.09%. Para Hearts (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.35. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.40, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.50%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +1.50%E +0.441%K +0.625%G +0.009%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-21 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +1.50%E +0.441%K +0.625%G +0.009%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-21 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.49%E -0.450%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.49%E -0.450%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 20:19
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 21:27
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 21:27
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 20:19
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 20:19
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 20:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -13.21%E -6.71%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-21 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -13.21%E -6.71%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-21 20:19
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.84%EV -6.56%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 20:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 20:19
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 22:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 20:18
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 20:20
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 20:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-21 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-21 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.74%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.33%EV -17.62%E -9.42%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.93%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-21 20:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 30.24%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%13.2%2026-10-21 20:20
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.32%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.99%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.69%16.0%2026-10-22 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-21 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-21 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-21 20:20