Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hearts v Rangers

2026-10-28 20:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hearts (Local)

Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.441%
Kelly +0.625%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.80%29.86%30.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.153.153.4035.09%31.72%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 44.05%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.90%44.09%44.09%45.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.082.102.2053.48%48.05%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -0.781%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.92%26.11%26.06%27.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.523.503.7529.41%28.38%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hearts (Local): 29.85%; Rangers (Visitante): 44.05%; Empate: 26.09%. Para Hearts (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.35. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.50%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +1.50%E +0.441%K +0.625%G +0.009%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-21 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +1.50%E +0.441%K +0.625%G +0.009%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-21 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.49%E -0.450%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.49%E -0.450%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 20:19
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 21:27
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -2.98%E -0.917%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 21:27
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 20:19
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 20:19
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -11.01%E -5.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 20:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -13.21%E -6.71%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-21 20:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -13.21%E -6.71%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-21 20:19
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.84%EV -6.56%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.61%E -3.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 20:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -6.86%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 20:19
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 22:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 20:18
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 20:20
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:20
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -8.95%E -2.93%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 20:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-21 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-21 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.74%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.33%EV -17.62%E -9.42%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.93%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-21 20:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 30.24%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%13.2%2026-10-21 20:20
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.32%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.99%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.69%16.0%2026-10-22 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-21 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-21 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-21 20:20