Language:English
Hearts v Rangers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.83%32.64%32.37%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.812.853.0140.82%35.57%35.09%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rangers (Visit)
Prediction 40.73%2.45fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.691%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%40.59%40.81%41.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.302.4847.62%43.00%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%26.76%26.82%27.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.453.6630.77%28.77%28.99%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 32.50%; Rangers (Visit): 40.73%; Draw: 26.76%. For Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.02%E +0.412%K +0.691%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.02%E +0.412%K +0.691%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.24%E -0.932%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.932%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.17%E -0.720%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -2.85%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.83%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.97%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.19%EV -2.05%E -0.560%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -20.37%E -8.31%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -6.07%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.75%E -3.91%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.75%E -3.91%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.33%EV -13.22%E -4.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 2.9% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |