L’École des cotes

Hearts v Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:30 UTC

Score final : Hearts 2–1 Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 32.50%3.08cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.720%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.83%32.64%32.37%36.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.812.853.0140.82%35.57%35.09%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.73%2.45cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.412%
Kelly +0.691%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.29%40.59%40.81%41.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.302.4847.62%43.00%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -0.770%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.79%26.76%26.82%27.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.483.453.6630.77%28.77%28.99%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.02%E +0.412%K +0.691%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.02%E +0.412%K +0.691%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:44
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:44
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.24%E -0.932%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.932%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:44
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 15:29
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:20
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.17%E -0.720%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -2.85%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 16:25
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 16:24
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 16:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 16:10
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 16:10
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.83%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.97%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.19%EV -2.05%E -0.560%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 16:20
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:25
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:05
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:19
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:15
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:15
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:14
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:30
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:25
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:25
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:25
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:25
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -20.37%E -8.31%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 15:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:20
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:20
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -6.07%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:20
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 15:35
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 16:20
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 16:20
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.75%E -3.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:20
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.75%E -3.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 16:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 16:20
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.33%EV -13.22%E -4.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%2.9%2026-05-04 16:25