La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.02%E +0.412%K +0.691%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.02%E +0.412%K +0.691%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -1.01%E -0.418%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.24%E -0.932%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.932%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 15:29 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.17%E -0.720%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -2.85%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 16:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -14.52%E -5.52%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.83%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.97%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.19%EV -2.05%E -0.560%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:05 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 15:30 |
| 888sport | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| William Hill | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -20.37%E -8.31%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -5.09%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -6.07%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.87%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.66%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| BetUS | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.75%E -3.91%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.20%EV -8.75%E -3.91%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.33%EV -13.22%E -4.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.02%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 2.9% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |