Language:English
Hearts v Motherwell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 47.49%2.11fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.04%47.50%47.48%49.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0255.56%51.28%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motherwell (Visit)
Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV +8.70%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +2.60%
Growth +0.226%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%24.97%25.00%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.713.704.3528.17%26.95%27.03%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -0.907%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.53%27.52%28.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.5532.26%29.46%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 47.49%; Motherwell (Visit): 24.99%; Draw: 27.52%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +8.70%E +2.00%K +2.60%G +0.226% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.61%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.00%EV +0.705%E +0.175%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -4.51%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.91%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.31%E -0.651%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.91%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.31%E -0.651%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:47 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -11.19%E -5.98%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.90%EV -14.51%E -8.06%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |