مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hearts v Motherwell

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hearts (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.49%2.11السعر العادل
EV -4.06%
الأفضلية -2.01%
Kelly -3.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.04%47.50%47.48%49.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.951.952.0255.56%51.28%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Motherwell (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.99%4.00السعر العادل
EV +8.70%
الأفضلية +2.00%
Kelly +2.60%
النمو +0.226%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.06%24.97%25.00%26.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.713.704.3528.17%26.95%27.03%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.52%3.63السعر العادل
EV -2.31%
الأفضلية -0.651%
Kelly -0.907%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.55%27.53%27.52%28.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.393.403.5532.26%29.46%29.41%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +8.70%E +2.00%K +2.60%G +0.226%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.61%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.00%EV +0.705%E +0.175%K +0.233%G +0.002%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -4.51%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 13:59
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:58
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:01
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:59
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:59
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:01
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.91%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.31%E -0.651%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:00
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.91%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.31%E -0.651%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 14:00
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:01
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:01
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:01
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:01
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:59
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:01
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:47
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -11.19%E -5.98%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.90%EV -14.51%E -8.06%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-11 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%2.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%5.0%2026-04-11 14:01