La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hearts v Motherwell
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hearts (Local)
Predicción 47.49%2.11momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.04%47.50%47.48%49.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.951.952.0255.56%51.28%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motherwell (Visitante)
Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV +8.70%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +2.60%
Crecimiento +0.226%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.06%24.97%25.00%26.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.713.704.3528.17%26.95%27.03%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.651%
Kelly -0.907%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.55%27.53%27.52%28.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.5532.26%29.46%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +8.70%E +2.00%K +2.60%G +0.226% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.61%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.12%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.00%EV +0.705%E +0.175%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -4.51%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -3.79%E -0.985%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.91%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.31%E -0.651%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.91%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.31%E -0.651%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:47 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -11.19%E -5.98%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.90%EV -14.51%E -8.06%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |