Language:English
Hearts v Dundee United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.98%54.17%54.05%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.721.7961.35%58.47%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundee United (Visit)
Prediction 21.95%4.55fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.76%21.92%22.03%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.274.304.5025.64%23.40%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.06%23.91%23.93%24.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.854.1027.78%26.01%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 54.08%; Dundee United (Visit): 21.95%; Draw: 23.96%. For Dundee United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.94%EV -8.23%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.50%EV -2.23%E -0.546%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 13:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -3.74%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -3.84%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.77%EV -2.71%E -0.666%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -11.08%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -2.30%E -0.517%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -2.30%E -0.517%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -1.75%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.75%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.68%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.34%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.53%E -3.43%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
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