The School of Odds
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Hearts v Dundee United

2026-08-09 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hearts (Local)

Prediction 63.02%1.59fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -10.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.67%63.09%63.08%65.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.481.5070.92%68.06%67.80%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee United (Visit)

Prediction 15.33%6.52fair odd
EV -0.372%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.53%15.37%15.24%16.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.996.006.5018.52%16.69%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.65%4.62fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.597%
Kelly +0.756%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%21.53%21.68%22.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.324.284.7524.69%23.16%23.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hearts (Local): 63.02%; Dundee United (Visit): 15.33%; Draw: 21.65%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +2.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.372%E -0.057%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV +2.84%E +0.597%K +0.756%G +0.021%5.9%2026-08-02 14:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -0.372%E -0.057%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.372%E -0.057%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -7.36%E -5.00%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.372%E -0.057%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 14:55
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.58%E -0.573%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:55
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 63.31%EV -7.36%E -5.00%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -9.57%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -3.66%E -0.822%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 20:04
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.372%E -0.057%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.74%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.74%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -7.99%E -5.47%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.74%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.47%E -3.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.03%EV -3.44%E -0.546%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.82%EV -6.04%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 20:05
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.33%EV -6.35%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:05
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -6.50%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -11.87%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.99%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:15
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -4.97%E -0.802%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 20:05
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:48
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.62%E -5.94%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:50
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -6.73%E -4.54%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.70%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 20:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:53
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.25%E -6.42%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.04%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.99%E -5.47%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -14.17%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.07%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 20:10
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -6.10%E -4.09%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.14%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -17.23%E -3.19%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -12.32%E -3.04%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-08-02 14:55