Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hearts v Dundee United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : Hearts 4–0 Dundee United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 54.08%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -4.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.98%54.17%54.05%55.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.711.721.7961.35%58.47%58.14%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundee United (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.95%4.55cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.267%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.76%21.92%22.03%23.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.274.304.5025.64%23.40%23.26%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.96%4.17cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.564%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.06%23.91%23.93%24.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.843.854.1027.78%26.01%25.97%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hearts (Local) : 54.08% ; Dundee United (Visiteur) : 21.95% ; Match nul : 23.96%. Pour Dundee United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.55. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.50, pour une espérance de -1.20% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.94%EV -8.23%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.50%EV -2.23%E -0.546%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:58
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -3.74%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -3.84%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.77%EV -2.71%E -0.666%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:59
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 13:58
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -11.08%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:59
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 13:59
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 13:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -2.30%E -0.517%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -2.30%E -0.517%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 13:30
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -1.75%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:45
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.75%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.68%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.34%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.53%E -3.43%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78%0.9%2026-08-09 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-08-09 13:55