Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hearts v Dundee United

Início: 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

Final: Hearts 4–0 Dundee United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hearts (Local)

Previsão 54.08%1.85odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.98%54.17%54.05%55.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.711.721.7961.35%58.47%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundee United (Visitante)

Previsão 21.95%4.55odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.267%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.76%21.92%22.03%23.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.274.304.5025.64%23.40%23.26%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.96%4.17odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.426%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.06%23.91%23.93%24.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.843.854.1027.78%26.01%25.97%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hearts (Local): 54.08%; Dundee United (Visitante): 21.95%; Empate: 23.96%. Para Dundee United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.55. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.50, com valor esperado de -1.20%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.94%EV -8.23%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.50%EV -2.23%E -0.546%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:58
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.21%EV -3.74%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -3.84%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.77%EV -2.71%E -0.666%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:59
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 13:58
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.98%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -11.08%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 13:59
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 13:59
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 13:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -2.30%E -0.517%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -2.30%E -0.517%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 13:30
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.73%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -8.89%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -1.75%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.54%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 13:45
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.20%E -0.267%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -1.75%E -0.426%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.68%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -9.14%E -5.44%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.40%E -0.772%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.13%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.34%EV -10.77%E -6.53%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.53%E -3.43%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -11.85%E -7.27%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.33%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78%0.9%2026-08-09 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-08-09 13:55