Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hearts v Dundee FC

2026-09-06 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hearts (Local)

Prediction 56.41%1.77fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -4.57%
Kelly -11.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%56.41%56.41%57.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.621.6463.69%62.14%61.73%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%19.20%19.20%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.834.905.0021.74%20.69%20.41%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.05%24.39%24.39%24.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.773.803.9027.40%26.54%26.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hearts (Local): 56.41%; Dundee FC (Visit): 19.20%; Draw: 24.39%. For Dundee FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -3.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -7.49%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -7.49%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.99%E -0.798%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 14:10
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.92%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.91%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -9.75%E -6.09%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.79%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-27 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -9.75%E -6.09%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.75%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.75%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-27 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.68%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -9.75%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-27 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.45%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-27 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.45%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -11.67%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -10.97%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-27 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.