Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hearts v Dundee FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 14:00 UTC

Score final : Hearts 2–1 Dundee FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hearts (Local)

Prévision 65.44%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.34%65.38%65.31%67.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.431.5072.99%69.92%69.93%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.31%6.99cote équitable
EV +9.04%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 7.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.63%14.31%14.42%15.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.606.326.357.6217.86%15.82%15.75%13.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.25%4.94cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.582%
Kelly -0.735%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.48%20.31%20.27%21.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.504.504.8024.39%22.22%22.22%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hearts (Local) : 65.44% ; Dundee FC (Visiteur) : 14.31% ; Match nul : 20.25%. Pour Dundee FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.99. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.62, soit une espérance positive de +9.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.90%EV -4.46%E -3.05%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.63%EV +9.04%E +1.19%K +1.36%G +0.123%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.48%EV -9.27%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.32%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.39%EV +2.74%E +0.381%K +0.443%G +0.012%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.29%EV -4.01%E -0.846%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +0.163%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:20
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +0.163%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -7.73%E -5.48%K -18.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +0.163%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 13:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +0.163%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +0.163%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 13:44
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV -2.70%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -12.92%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -10.35%E -7.55%K -27.97%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -2.70%E -0.397%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -4.84%E -0.729%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -5.56%E -0.842%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -5.56%E -0.842%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:55
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -5.56%E -0.842%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -3.80%E -2.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV -3.81%E -0.801%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 06:29
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 06:29
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -4.82%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.81%E -0.801%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 06:30
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.81%E -0.801%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 13:25
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.81%E -0.801%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:45
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -9.88%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 13:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 13:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -6.99%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.79%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.95%EV -8.42%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -12.92%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 13:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -10.57%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -3.80%E -2.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -10.57%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -10.57%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -11.91%E -2.74%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -11.28%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 06:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.70%EV -10.35%E -7.55%K -27.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.52%EV -11.28%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.78%EV -7.86%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.79%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.51%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.42%EV -11.28%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -12.92%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -2.50%E -1.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 13:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:35
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.79%E -0.582%K -0.735%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -4.46%E -3.05%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.89%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.15%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.87%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 13:59
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -3.80%E -2.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -3.80%E -2.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -3.80%E -2.59%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 13:59
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.85%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.85%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.85%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 13:40
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.85%EV -5.11%E -3.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -17.01%E -2.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.93%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -5.77%E -4.00%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -17.72%E -3.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.94%E -3.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -17.72%E -3.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -16.97%E -4.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.34%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -19.87%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.97%E -4.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -19.87%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -16.97%E -4.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.50%EV -7.08%E -4.98%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -19.87%E -3.55%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -16.97%E -4.14%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-06 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-06 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-06 13:40
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-06 13:40
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-09-06 13:45