Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 11:00 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 3–6 Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV +7.98%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.182%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.89%23.87%24.02%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.023.954.5027.78%24.87%25.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 50.28%1.99fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.02%50.45%50.24%54.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.841.9159.52%55.13%54.35%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%25.68%25.74%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.643.8129.85%27.55%27.47%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 24.00%; Rangers (Visit): 50.28%; Draw: 25.72%. For Falkirk F.C. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 11:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:20
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:20
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:19
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:20
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV +4.38%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -14.01%E -8.20%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:50
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -13.01%E -7.52%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -15.52%E -9.24%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -15.52%E -9.24%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.98%E +0.466%K +0.609%G +0.012%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -14.52%E -8.54%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:15
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:14
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:15
Pinnacle🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -1.38%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.13%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -2.01%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -1.62%E -0.395%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:19
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 08:35
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 08:44
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:40
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 09:15
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:20
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -8.99%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 09:58
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -5.94%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -6.89%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:35
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 08:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 08:35
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.15%EV -6.90%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.11%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:10
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 10:20
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.48%E -4.06%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 08:34
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:39
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -7.48%E -4.06%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:19
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 08:35
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:19
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.99%E -5.58%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 08:44
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:19
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.22%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-12 10:05