L’École des cotes

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:00 UTC

Score final : Falkirk F.C. 3–6 Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prévision 24.00%4.17cote équitable
EV +7.98%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.182%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.89%23.87%24.02%26.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.023.954.5027.78%24.87%25.32%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.28%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.02%50.45%50.24%54.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.841.9159.52%55.13%54.35%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.714%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.87%25.68%25.74%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.643.8129.85%27.55%27.47%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 11:05
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 11:04
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:20
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:20
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:19
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:20
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV +4.38%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -14.01%E -8.20%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:50
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -13.01%E -7.52%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 10:20
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -15.52%E -9.24%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:20
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -15.52%E -9.24%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.98%E +0.466%K +0.609%G +0.012%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -14.52%E -8.54%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:15
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:14
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:15
Pinnacle4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -1.38%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.13%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -2.01%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -1.62%E -0.395%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:19
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 08:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 08:44
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 09:15
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:20
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -8.99%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 09:58
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -5.94%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -6.89%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 08:35
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:35
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:04
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 08:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 08:35
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.15%EV -6.90%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.11%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:10
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 10:20
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.48%E -4.06%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 08:34
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 08:35
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:39
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:39
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -7.48%E -4.06%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:19
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 08:35
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:19
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:19
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.99%E -5.58%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 08:44
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:19
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:19
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.22%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-12 10:05