La escuela de los momios

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Inicio: 2026-04-12 11:00 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 3–6 Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Predicción 24.00%4.17momio equitativo
EV +7.98%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.182%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.89%23.87%24.02%26.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.023.954.5027.78%24.87%25.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 50.28%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.02%50.45%50.24%54.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.811.841.9159.52%55.13%54.35%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.714%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.87%25.68%25.74%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.643.8129.85%27.55%27.47%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 11:05
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 11:04
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +7.98%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.182%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -12.51%E -7.19%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -11.50%E -6.53%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 10:20
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:20
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:19
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:20
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV +5.58%E +1.27%K +1.64%G +0.092%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV +4.38%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -14.01%E -8.20%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 09:50
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -13.01%E -7.52%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 10:20
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -15.52%E -9.24%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:20
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV +3.18%E +0.740%K +0.964%G +0.031%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -15.52%E -9.24%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.98%E +0.466%K +0.609%G +0.012%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -14.52%E -8.54%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:15
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:14
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV +0.781%E +0.186%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:15
Pinnacle4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -1.38%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.13%EV -4.96%E -2.63%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.36%EV -2.01%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -1.62%E -0.395%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:19
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 08:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 08:44
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 09:40
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -4.02%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.49%E -5.27%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 09:15
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:20
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -8.99%E -4.96%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 09:58
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -5.94%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -6.89%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 08:35
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:35
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:04
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 08:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 08:35
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.15%EV -6.90%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.11%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 10:10
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 10:20
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.62%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.48%E -4.06%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 08:34
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 08:35
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:39
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:39
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -7.48%E -4.06%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:19
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 08:35
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:19
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:19
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:20
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.99%E -5.58%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 08:44
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:19
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 10:19
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.22%EV -13.51%E -7.86%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-12 10:20
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-04-12 10:05