Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 11:34 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 2–5 Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prediction 20.77%4.81fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.454%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%20.71%20.73%22.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.404.354.9024.39%22.71%22.99%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 56.59%1.77fair odd
EV -0.968%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.16%56.52%56.58%58.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.671.671.7566.23%59.80%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.57%22.77%22.69%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.034.004.3526.32%24.82%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 20.77%; Rangers (Visit): 56.59%; Draw: 22.64%. For Falkirk F.C. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +1.77%E +0.361%K +0.454%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Pinnacle🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.52%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.71%EV -5.36%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:29
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:29
1xBet🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.64%EV -3.21%E -0.690%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -1.51%E -0.348%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Everygame🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.30%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -3.78%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.96%E -0.454%K -0.590%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -0.968%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -0.968%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.53%E -0.882%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 11:29
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:29
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:17
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 57.25%EV -14.55%E -9.64%K -28.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-16 11:29
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.67%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.67%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.70%0.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-05-16 11:30