L’École des cotes

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:34 UTC

Score final : Falkirk F.C. 2–5 Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Prévision 20.77%4.81cote équitable
EV +1.77%
Avantage +0.361%
Kelly +0.454%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.19%20.71%20.73%22.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.404.354.9024.39%22.71%22.99%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.59%1.77cote équitable
EV -0.968%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.16%56.52%56.58%58.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.671.671.7566.23%59.80%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.64%4.42cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.451%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%22.77%22.69%24.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.034.004.3526.32%24.82%25.00%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +1.77%E +0.361%K +0.454%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Pinnacle4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.52%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.71%EV -5.36%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:29
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:29
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:29
1xBet4.66I 21.46%NM 20.64%EV -3.21%E -0.690%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -1.51%E -0.348%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.30%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -3.78%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.96%E -0.454%K -0.590%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:30
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -0.968%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -0.968%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.53%E -0.882%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 11:29
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:29
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:17
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:30
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:30
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 57.25%EV -14.55%E -9.64%K -28.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-16 11:29
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.67%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.67%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.70%0.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-05-16 11:30