La escuela de los momios

Falkirk F.C. v Rangers

Inicio: 2026-05-16 11:34 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 2–5 Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Predicción 20.77%4.81momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.361%
Kelly +0.454%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.19%20.71%20.73%22.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.404.354.9024.39%22.71%22.99%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.59%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.968%
Ventaja -0.553%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.16%56.52%56.58%58.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.671.671.7566.23%59.80%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.64%4.42momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.451%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%22.77%22.69%24.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.034.004.3526.32%24.82%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +1.77%E +0.361%K +0.454%G +0.008%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Pinnacle4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.52%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.71%EV -5.36%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:29
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:29
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -0.306%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:29
1xBet4.66I 21.46%NM 20.64%EV -3.21%E -0.690%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -1.51%E -0.348%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -4.46%E -0.970%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Marathon Bet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -5.50%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -8.30%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:29
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -3.78%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.96%E -0.454%K -0.590%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.19%E -4.39%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.54%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.58%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:30
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -0.968%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -0.968%E -0.553%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.53%E -0.882%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 11:29
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:29
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -10.07%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -7.10%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 11:29
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -4.93%E -2.93%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -10.69%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:30
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:17
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.73%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -3.80%E -2.23%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -12.83%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:30
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -5.50%E -3.29%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:30
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -12.77%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 57.25%EV -14.55%E -9.64%K -28.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-16 11:29
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -3.23%E -1.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.67%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -14.85%E -3.62%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.67%E -1.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.70%0.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-05-16 11:30