Language:English
Falkirk F.C. v Hearts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%28.21%27.78%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.263.203.6033.90%30.71%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hearts (Visit)
Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV +4.49%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +3.33%
Growth +0.149%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%44.33%44.72%47.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.102.102.3552.91%47.58%47.62%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.46%27.50%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.71%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 28.09%; Hearts (Visit): 44.46%; Draw: 27.44%. For Hearts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV +4.49%E +1.91%K +3.33%G +0.149% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -1.74%E -0.785%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -3.51%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.20%E -0.334%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 05:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.20%E -0.334%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 05:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -15.72%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -15.72%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -0.270%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -7.52%E -3.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -0.270%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -7.52%E -3.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%EV +0.292%E +0.082%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -8.40%E -4.08%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.07%EV -2.80%E -0.809%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.29%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.29%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -3.08%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -10.63%E -5.29%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -3.08%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -11.52%E -5.79%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV +1.13%E +0.315%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.41%E -6.30%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.30%E -6.82%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -15.07%E -7.89%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -15.96%E -8.45%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 05:50 |