Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. v Hearts

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Previsão 28.09%3.56odd justa
EV +1.13%
Vantagem +0.315%
Kelly +0.436%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.52%28.21%27.78%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.263.203.6033.90%30.71%31.25%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hearts (Visitante)

Previsão 44.46%2.25odd justa
EV +4.49%
Vantagem +1.91%
Kelly +3.33%
Crescimento +0.149%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.86%44.33%44.72%47.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.102.102.3552.91%47.58%47.62%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.44%3.64odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.463%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.32%27.46%27.50%28.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.71%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 28.09%; Hearts (Visitante): 44.46%; Empate: 27.44%. Para Hearts (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.25. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV +4.49%E +1.91%K +3.33%G +0.149%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -1.74%E -0.785%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 00:49
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 01:01
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 07:49
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -3.51%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.20%E -0.334%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 05:50
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 07:45
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.20%E -0.334%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 05:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 05:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 05:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 05:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -15.72%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 07:49
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -15.72%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 07:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 07:45
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 05:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 05:49
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 05:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 05:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 05:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 07:45
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -0.270%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -7.52%E -3.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 10:04
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -0.270%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -7.52%E -3.61%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 10:04
Pinnacle🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%EV +0.292%E +0.082%K +0.113%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -8.40%E -4.08%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:10
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.07%EV -2.80%E -0.809%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 09:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 05:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 09:54
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 09:54
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 09:54
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.29%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 04:54
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.29%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 04:54
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -3.08%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -10.63%E -5.29%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 22:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -3.08%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -11.52%E -5.79%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV +1.13%E +0.315%K +0.436%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.41%E -6.30%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 09:50
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.30%E -6.82%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 14:04
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -15.07%E -7.89%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -15.96%E -8.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-08-21 12:25
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%8.3%2026-08-17 05:50