Idioma:Español
Falkirk F.C. v Hearts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkirk F.C. (Local)
Predicción 28.09%3.56momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.315%
Kelly +0.436%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%28.21%27.78%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.263.203.6033.90%30.71%31.25%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hearts (Visitante)
Predicción 44.46%2.25momio equitativo
EV +4.49%
Ventaja +1.91%
Kelly +3.33%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%44.33%44.72%47.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.102.102.3552.91%47.58%47.62%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.44%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%27.46%27.50%28.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.71%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 28.09%; Hearts (Visitante): 44.46%; Empate: 27.44%. Para Hearts (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.25. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV +4.49%E +1.91%K +3.33%G +0.149% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -1.74%E -0.785%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -2.18%E -0.991%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -3.51%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.20%E -0.334%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 05:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -14.32%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.20%E -0.334%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 05:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.10%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.40%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -15.72%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -15.72%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 07:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.91%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.13%E -5.81%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -0.270%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -7.52%E -3.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -0.270%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.50%EV -7.52%E -3.61%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%EV +0.292%E +0.082%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -8.40%E -4.08%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.07%EV -2.80%E -0.809%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 05:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.29%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.29%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 04:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -3.08%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.82%EV -10.63%E -5.29%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 22:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -3.08%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -11.52%E -5.79%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV +1.13%E +0.315%K +0.436%G +0.005% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.41%E -6.30%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -13.30%E -6.82%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -4.48%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -15.07%E -7.89%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -1.67%E -0.479%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.33%EV -15.96%E -8.45%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 05:50 |