Language:English
Dundee United v Aberdeen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee United (Local)
Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.46%45.10%45.16%46.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.072.062.1854.05%48.25%48.54%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aberdeen (Visit)
Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.42%27.37%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.403.6033.33%29.88%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.48%27.47%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.393.403.6032.79%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 45.13%; Aberdeen (Visit): 27.38%; Draw: 27.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -1.61%E -0.737%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -1.61%E -0.737%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 19:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.81%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.48%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -1.69%E -0.472%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.847%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 04:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.57%E -3.17%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -5.80%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.07%E -0.296%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.38%E -4.13%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.38%E -4.13%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.74%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.98%EV -16.50%E -8.92%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -17.85%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -16.18%E -5.31%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-02-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 19:40 |