L’École des cotes

Dundee United v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundee United (Local)

Prévision 45.13%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.46%45.10%45.16%46.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.072.062.1854.05%48.25%48.54%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.394%
Kelly -0.546%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.42%27.37%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.403.6033.33%29.88%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.48%27.47%28.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.393.403.6032.79%29.52%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -1.61%E -0.737%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -1.61%E -0.737%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 19:39
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.81%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.48%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 19:35
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -1.69%E -0.472%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.847%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-24 19:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 19:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 19:20
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.57%E -3.17%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -5.80%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:34
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 19:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 19:20
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.07%E -0.296%K -0.410%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 14:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:35
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:55
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.38%E -4.13%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.38%E -4.13%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-24 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-24 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.74%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-24 19:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.98%EV -16.50%E -8.92%K -19.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -17.85%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -16.18%E -5.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-24 19:40