La escuela de los momios

Dundee United v Aberdeen

Inicio: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee United (Local)

Predicción 45.13%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.737%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.46%45.10%45.16%46.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.072.062.1854.05%48.25%48.54%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aberdeen (Visitante)

Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.394%
Kelly -0.546%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%27.42%27.37%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.403.6033.33%29.88%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.99%27.48%27.47%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.393.403.6032.79%29.52%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -1.61%E -0.737%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -1.61%E -0.737%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -2.51%E -1.16%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 19:20
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 19:39
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.81%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.48%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 19:35
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -1.69%E -0.472%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -2.99%E -0.847%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-24 19:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 19:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 19:20
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.57%E -3.17%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -5.80%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.78%EV -7.66%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:34
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.37%E -3.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-24 19:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 19:20
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 19:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.07%E -0.296%K -0.410%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 14:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 19:35
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:55
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 19:20
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.38%E -4.13%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.38%E -4.13%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-24 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-24 19:20
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.74%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.74%E -4.36%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -14.81%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-24 19:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.98%EV -16.50%E -8.92%K -19.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.74%EV -17.85%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -16.18%E -5.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-02-24 19:40
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-02-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-02-24 19:40