Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee FC v Celtic

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee FC (Local)

Prediction 16.78%5.96fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +0.779%
Kelly +0.927%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.10%16.82%16.72%18.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.675.556.2520.00%17.62%18.02%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celtic (Visit)

Prediction 61.75%1.62fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.11%61.67%61.84%63.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.64%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.47%4.66fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -0.777%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.51%21.44%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.334.5325.64%23.24%23.09%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee FC (Local): 16.78%; Celtic (Visit): 61.75%; Draw: 21.47%. For Dundee FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV +4.87%E +0.779%K +0.927%G +0.045%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV +4.87%E +0.779%K +0.927%G +0.045%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:44
1xBet🎯6.14I 16.29%NM 15.67%EV +3.02%E +0.492%K +0.588%G +0.018%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 15:24
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:44
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:45
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
Pinnacle🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.90%EV +1.51%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.005%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.87%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.23%EV -2.74%E -0.606%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:45
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.86%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:44
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.01%E -0.171%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.61%E -5.82%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:10
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:20
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 15:04
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 15:25
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:20
BetUS🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.01%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 15:19
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.67%E -2.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:20
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:09
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 15:24
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 14:40
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 14:40
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:40
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:24
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:24
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 15:20
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.05%E -1.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:25
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.05%E -1.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:25
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.42%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.88%EV -12.31%E -8.67%K -29.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.27%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-05 15:24
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.11%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.11%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 15:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-05 15:25
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%2.9%2026-04-05 14:35