Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dundee FC v Celtic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dundee FC (Local)

Prévision 16.78%5.96cote équitable
EV +4.87%
Avantage +0.779%
Kelly +0.927%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.10%16.82%16.72%18.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.675.556.2520.00%17.62%18.02%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Celtic (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.75%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -5.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.11%61.67%61.84%63.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.64%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.47%4.66cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.606%
Kelly -0.777%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%21.51%21.44%22.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.304.334.5325.64%23.24%23.09%22.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dundee FC (Local) : 16.78% ; Celtic (Visiteur) : 61.75% ; Match nul : 21.47%. Pour Dundee FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.96. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +4.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV +4.87%E +0.779%K +0.927%G +0.045%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV +4.87%E +0.779%K +0.927%G +0.045%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:44
1xBet🎯6.14I 16.29%NM 15.67%EV +3.02%E +0.492%K +0.588%G +0.018%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 15:24
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:44
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:45
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:44
Pinnacle🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.90%EV +1.51%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.005%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.87%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.23%EV -2.74%E -0.606%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:45
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.86%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:44
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.01%E -0.171%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.61%E -5.82%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:10
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:20
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 15:04
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 15:25
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:20
BetUS🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.01%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 15:19
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.67%E -2.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:20
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:09
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 15:24
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 14:40
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 14:40
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:40
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:24
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:24
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 15:20
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.05%E -1.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:25
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.05%E -1.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 14:25
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 15:24
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.42%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.88%EV -12.31%E -8.67%K -29.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.27%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-05 15:24
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.11%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.11%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 15:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-05 15:25
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%2.9%2026-04-05 14:35