La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundee FC v Celtic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundee FC (Local)
Predicción 16.78%5.96momio equitativo
EV +4.87%
Ventaja +0.779%
Kelly +0.927%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.10%16.82%16.72%18.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.675.556.2520.00%17.62%18.02%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Celtic (Visitante)
Predicción 61.75%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -5.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.11%61.67%61.84%63.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.64%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.47%4.66momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.606%
Kelly -0.777%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%21.51%21.44%22.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.304.334.5325.64%23.24%23.09%22.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV +4.87%E +0.779%K +0.927%G +0.045% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV +4.87%E +0.779%K +0.927%G +0.045% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.25%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| 1xBet | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.67%EV +3.02%E +0.492%K +0.588%G +0.018% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| LeoVegas | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Casumo | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| betPARX | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV +2.35%E +0.385%K +0.461%G +0.011% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Pinnacle | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.90%EV +1.51%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.005% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.87%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.23%EV -2.74%E -0.606%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| BetRivers | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.86%EV -9.22%E -6.28%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV +0.671%E +0.112%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -11.69%E -8.18%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.01%E -0.171%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.61%E -5.82%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 15:04 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Everygame | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.52%E -0.613%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| BetUS | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -6.04%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.01%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 15:19 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -3.67%E -2.35%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 14:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.39%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.61%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.72%E -1.40%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -9.40%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.04%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.05%E -1.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 14:25 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.05%E -1.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 14:25 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.76%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.83%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -12.75%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.42%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.46%EV -10.90%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.54%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -14.43%E -2.83%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.88%EV -12.31%E -8.67%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.27%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.11%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:25 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -16.11%E -3.22%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.04%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 14:35 |