Language:English
Dundee FC v Aberdeen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee FC (Local)
Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.26%39.11%38.95%42.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.5045.45%42.43%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aberdeen (Visit)
Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.748%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.81%33.68%33.88%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.80%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%27.20%27.16%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee FC (Local): 39.01%; Aberdeen (Visit): 33.83%; Draw: 27.16%. For Aberdeen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -2.56%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.60%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.55%E -3.19%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.50%E -4.10%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -7.94%E -3.37%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -5.95%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.62%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.62%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 02:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 02:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.63%EV -6.77%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.82%EV -7.64%E -2.80%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.98%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.98%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.48%E -0.993%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -11.36%E -4.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -13.73%E -5.38%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -14.44%E -4.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |