مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dundee FC v Aberdeen

البداية: 2026-05-17 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dundee FC 3–2 Aberdeen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dundee FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.01%2.56السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -0.993%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.26%39.11%38.95%42.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.362.382.5045.45%42.43%42.02%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aberdeen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.83%2.96السعر العادل
EV +1.50%
الأفضلية +0.499%
Kelly +0.748%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.81%33.68%33.88%34.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.80%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.16%3.68السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.617%
Kelly -0.855%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.79%27.20%27.16%28.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.22%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:45
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -2.56%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 07:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 07:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 07:30
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 07:29
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 07:30
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 07:30
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 07:30
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 07:29
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.60%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.55%E -3.19%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.50%E -4.10%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 07:30
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -7.94%E -3.37%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -5.95%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:19
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.62%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.62%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:39
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 06:00
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 01:55
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 02:45
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 02:45
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 02:45
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 38.63%EV -6.77%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.82%EV -7.64%E -2.80%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:38
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.98%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.98%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 06:00
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.48%E -0.993%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 06:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 05:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -11.36%E -4.34%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 08:00
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -13.73%E -5.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -14.44%E -4.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-17 10:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40