La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Dundee FC v Aberdeen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundee FC (Local)
Predicción 39.01%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.26%39.11%38.95%42.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.382.5045.45%42.43%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aberdeen (Visitante)
Predicción 33.83%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.499%
Kelly +0.748%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.81%33.68%33.88%34.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.80%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -0.855%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%27.20%27.16%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.423.403.6031.75%29.22%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +1.50%E +0.499%K +0.748%G +0.011% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -14.18%E -6.45%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -1.89%E -0.651%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -2.56%E -0.890%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.11%E -3.91%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -3.58%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.60%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.55%E -3.19%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 08:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -9.50%E -4.10%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 07:30 |
| BetUS | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.00%EV -7.94%E -3.37%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.11%EV -5.95%E -2.14%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 08:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.62%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.99%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.62%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.28%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 02:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -11.06%E -4.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 02:45 |
| Bovada | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.63%EV -6.77%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.82%EV -7.64%E -2.80%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.98%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -7.98%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.22%E -0.617%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.48%E -0.993%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.58%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 06:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.65%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -11.36%E -4.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -12.23%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -13.73%E -5.38%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -14.44%E -4.59%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |