默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celtic v Falkirk F.C.

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celtic (主队)

预测 77.10%1.30公平赔率
EV -3.62%
优势 -2.90%
Kelly -14.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
75.38%76.89%77.22%78.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.211.211.2587.72%82.35%82.64%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Falkirk F.C. (客队)

预测 8.32%12.02公平赔率
EV +8.15%
优势 +0.627%
Kelly +0.679%
增长率 +0.055%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.32%8.43%8.34%10.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.0111.0013.0011.11%9.09%9.09%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.58%6.86公平赔率
EV +2.06%
优势 +0.294%
Kelly +0.343%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.48%14.68%14.44%16.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.316.407.0017.54%15.84%15.63%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Celtic (主队):77.10%;Falkirk F.C. (客队):8.32%;平局:14.58%。 对于“Falkirk F.C. (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.02。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为13.00,由此产生+8.15%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.60%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV +8.15%E +0.627%K +0.679%G +0.055%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -1.59%E -0.235%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.40%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +3.99%E +0.319%K +0.347%G +0.014%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -16.90%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 02:14
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.94%EV -4.40%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV +3.99%E +0.319%K +0.347%G +0.014%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -16.90%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 02:14
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -0.166%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +2.06%E +0.294%K +0.343%G +0.007%6.0%2026-08-22 18:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.166%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.59%E -0.235%K -0.276%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -0.166%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -1.59%E -0.235%K -0.276%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.166%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 21:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.166%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 21:04
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -0.166%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -16.17%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:00
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.55%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.70I 8.55%NM 8.02%EV -2.66%E -0.228%K -0.249%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 21:04
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.01%EV -4.40%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.30%EV -4.33%E -0.376%K -0.412%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.33%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%11.07I 9.03%NM 8.52%EV -7.90%E -0.714%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.14%EV -2.75%E -0.413%K -0.486%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.52%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:00
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.52%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.52%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.52%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -8.25%E -6.93%K -43.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.52%E -2.09%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.11%EV -12.11%E -10.62%K -86.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -8.49%E -0.771%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -13.98%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.96%EV -4.40%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -12.65%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -8.88%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -12.65%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -16.81%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.81%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -8.88%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 18:57
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -9.02%E -7.65%K -50.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -16.81%E -1.68%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -8.88%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.70%EV -4.40%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -18.88%E -1.94%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -6.69%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.70%EV -4.40%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.63%EV -18.88%E -1.94%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -6.69%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.38%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.91%EV -23.46%E -2.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.71%EV -9.61%E -1.55%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.38%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.91%EV -23.46%E -2.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.71%EV -9.61%E -1.55%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -25.12%E -2.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.23%E -0.805%K -0.951%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 18:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-08-23 01:55
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%9.1%2026-08-22 19:00

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