Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic v Falkirk F.C.

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Score final : Celtic 2–1 Falkirk F.C.

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 75.11%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -10.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.20%75.09%75.03%77.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.241.2985.47%81.28%80.65%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.53%10.50cote équitable
EV +9.57%
Avantage +0.832%
Kelly +0.912%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.10%9.56%9.50%10.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.8010.0010.0011.5011.36%10.00%10.00%8.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.36%6.51cote équitable
EV -0.147%
Avantage -0.023%
Kelly -0.027%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%15.35%15.47%17.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.256.086.006.5019.05%16.44%16.67%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Celtic (Local) : 75.11% ; Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur) : 9.53% ; Match nul : 15.36%. Pour Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.50. 22 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.50, soit une espérance positive de +9.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.79%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +9.57%E +0.832%K +0.912%G +0.087%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -9.12%E -7.53%K -43.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +9.57%E +0.832%K +0.912%G +0.087%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:20
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.59%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.99%EV +1.95%E +0.182%K +0.201%G +0.004%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.42%EV -9.98%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.08%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%10.61I 9.43%NM 9.03%EV +1.09%E +0.103%K +0.114%G +0.001%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.89%EV -1.07%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.92%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.12%E -7.53%K -43.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -4.76%E -0.767%K -0.914%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.32%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -10.62%E -8.92%K -55.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.10%EV -10.62%E -8.92%K -55.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.06%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -6.29%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -11.37%E -9.64%K -63.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -6.29%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.09%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:25
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.66%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -4.76%E -0.767%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.66%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -4.76%E -0.767%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:34
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:09
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.46%EV -9.12%E -7.53%K -43.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.53%EV -11.37%E -9.64%K -63.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -13.97%E -2.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.97%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.34%EV -16.15%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.21%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45