Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic v Falkirk F.C.

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Celtic 2–1 Falkirk F.C.

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic (Local)

Previsão 75.11%1.33odd justa
EV -3.11%
Vantagem -2.41%
Kelly -10.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.20%75.09%75.03%77.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.231.241.2985.47%81.28%80.65%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)

Previsão 9.53%10.50odd justa
EV +9.57%
Vantagem +0.832%
Kelly +0.912%
Crescimento +0.087%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.10%9.56%9.50%10.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.8010.0010.0011.5011.36%10.00%10.00%8.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.36%6.51odd justa
EV -0.147%
Vantagem -0.023%
Kelly -0.027%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.26%15.35%15.47%17.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.256.086.006.5019.05%16.44%16.67%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Celtic (Local): 75.11%; Falkirk F.C. (Visitante): 9.53%; Empate: 15.36%. Para Falkirk F.C. (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.50. 22 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.79%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +9.57%E +0.832%K +0.912%G +0.087%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -19.35%E -3.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -9.12%E -7.53%K -43.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +9.57%E +0.832%K +0.912%G +0.087%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +4.81%E +0.437%K +0.481%G +0.023%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:20
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.59%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.99%EV +1.95%E +0.182%K +0.201%G +0.004%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.42%EV -9.98%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.08%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%10.61I 9.43%NM 9.03%EV +1.09%E +0.103%K +0.114%G +0.001%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.89%EV -1.07%E -0.166%K -0.196%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -12.44%E -2.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.92%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.18%EV -5.52%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.84%EV -9.12%E -7.53%K -43.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -1.68%E -0.263%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -9.87%E -8.22%K -49.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV +0.044%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -4.76%E -0.767%K -0.914%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.32%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -10.62%E -8.92%K -55.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.10%EV -10.62%E -8.92%K -55.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.06%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -6.29%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -11.37%E -9.64%K -63.17%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -6.29%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.12%E -10.36%K -71.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -4.72%E -0.472%K -0.524%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.09%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:25
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.147%E -0.023%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -9.48%E -0.998%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.66%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -4.76%E -0.767%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.66%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -4.76%E -0.767%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:34
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -11.87%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.67%E -2.03%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -3.99%E -0.638%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:09
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.83%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.51%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.46%EV -9.12%E -7.53%K -43.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.53%EV -11.37%E -9.64%K -63.17%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV -14.25%E -1.58%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -13.97%E -2.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.97%EV -7.61%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.34%EV -16.15%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -10.90%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.21%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45