Language:English
Aberdeen v Hibernian
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aberdeen (Local)
Prediction 29.28%3.42fair odd
EV -0.441%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.184%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%29.18%29.35%30.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.923.183.203.4034.25%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hibernian (Visit)
Prediction 42.94%2.33fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.53%43.11%42.90%46.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.37%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -0.007%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%27.71%27.75%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.70%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aberdeen (Local): 29.28%; Hibernian (Visit): 42.94%; Draw: 27.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.6002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.6000, with an expected value of -0.007%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.441%E -0.130%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -2.49%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.79%EV -3.34%E -0.960%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.84%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.82%E -3.14%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -8.64%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.50%E -4.96%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.67%EV -13.26%E -6.56%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |